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Table 5.

Projected changes in seasonal temperature by mid-century.a DOI: https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2021.00059.t5

Median Projected Temperature Changea in °C (25th, 75th Percentiles)
SeasonRCP2.6RCP4.5RCP8.5
Winter (December–February) 1.4 (0.3, 2.5) 2.1 (1.1, 3.0) 2.7 (1.7, 3.7) 
Spring (March–May) 1.3 (0.5, 2.3) 1.7 (0.9, 2.7) 2.4 (1.5, 3.4) 
Summer (June–August) 1.4 (0.7, 2.2) 1.9 (1.2, 2.7) 2.7 (2.0, 3.5) 
Fall (September–November) 1.5 (0.8, 2.3) 2.0 (1.3, 2.7) 2.8 (2.0, 3.6) 
Median Projected Temperature Changea in °C (25th, 75th Percentiles)
SeasonRCP2.6RCP4.5RCP8.5
Winter (December–February) 1.4 (0.3, 2.5) 2.1 (1.1, 3.0) 2.7 (1.7, 3.7) 
Spring (March–May) 1.3 (0.5, 2.3) 1.7 (0.9, 2.7) 2.4 (1.5, 3.4) 
Summer (June–August) 1.4 (0.7, 2.2) 1.9 (1.2, 2.7) 2.7 (2.0, 3.5) 
Fall (September–November) 1.5 (0.8, 2.3) 2.0 (1.3, 2.7) 2.8 (2.0, 3.6) 

aProjections for 2046–2065 relative to 1986–2005 based on CMIP5 multi-model ensemble results for the GOM (1 × 1° grid resolution) provided by ECCC, Climate Research Division.

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