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Table 4.

Ensembles projected climatological mean changes (Delta)a with standard deviation.b DOI: https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2021.00011.t4

Future PeriodDelta F1Delta F2
EnsembleENSSUBENSSUB
Indicator 
TXx (°C) 1.74 [0.41] 1.79 [0.72] 2.78 [0.50] 2.77 [0.77] 
TNn (°C) 3.22 [0.60] 3.12 [1.13] 5.47 [0.76] 5.14 [1.25] 
TX90p (days) 32 [5] 33 [8] 55 [8] 55 [9] 
TN10p (days) –21 [5] –21 [7] –28 [6] –28 [8] 
FD (days) –17 [2] –16 [4] –26 [3] –25 [4] 
ID (days) –12 [2] –11 [4] –18 [2] –17 [4] 
PRCPTOT (%) 6.09 [2.79] 7.63 [4.7715] 11.44 [2.72] 13.79 [4.81] 
RX5day (%) 7.75 [2.61] 9.66 [4.7706] 11.30 [2.64] 13.77 [4.79] 
SDII (%) 4.44 [1.19] 5.16 [2.13] 6.97 [1.29] 7.70 [2.32] 
CDD (days) –2 [2] –1 [6] –4 [2] –4 [6] 
Future PeriodDelta F1Delta F2
EnsembleENSSUBENSSUB
Indicator 
TXx (°C) 1.74 [0.41] 1.79 [0.72] 2.78 [0.50] 2.77 [0.77] 
TNn (°C) 3.22 [0.60] 3.12 [1.13] 5.47 [0.76] 5.14 [1.25] 
TX90p (days) 32 [5] 33 [8] 55 [8] 55 [9] 
TN10p (days) –21 [5] –21 [7] –28 [6] –28 [8] 
FD (days) –17 [2] –16 [4] –26 [3] –25 [4] 
ID (days) –12 [2] –11 [4] –18 [2] –17 [4] 
PRCPTOT (%) 6.09 [2.79] 7.63 [4.7715] 11.44 [2.72] 13.79 [4.81] 
RX5day (%) 7.75 [2.61] 9.66 [4.7706] 11.30 [2.64] 13.77 [4.79] 
SDII (%) 4.44 [1.19] 5.16 [2.13] 6.97 [1.29] 7.70 [2.32] 
CDD (days) –2 [2] –1 [6] –4 [2] –4 [6] 

aDelta F1 and Delta F2 indicate the near and far future projected mean changes relative to the historical period H.

bThe standard deviation is shown in brackets.

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