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Table 4

Probability of replication with CI and NHST.

Confidence Interval ApproachNHST Approach

NM p(rep)SD p(rep)p (p <= .05)p (sign.2)

 
10 0.854 0.129 0.279 0.078 
20 0.834 0.143 0.545 0.296 
30 0.836 0.145 0.732 0.535 
40 0.829 0.148 0.85 0.722 
50 0.856 0.138 0.95 0.902 
60 0.844 0.148 0.971 0.942 
70 0.833 0.151 0.983 0.965 
80 0.849 0.140 0.994 0.987 
90 0.820 0.158 0.996 0.991 
100 0.851 0.146 0.999 0.997 
M 0.841 0.145 0.830 0.742 
Confidence Interval ApproachNHST Approach

NM p(rep)SD p(rep)p (p <= .05)p (sign.2)

 
10 0.854 0.129 0.279 0.078 
20 0.834 0.143 0.545 0.296 
30 0.836 0.145 0.732 0.535 
40 0.829 0.148 0.85 0.722 
50 0.856 0.138 0.95 0.902 
60 0.844 0.148 0.971 0.942 
70 0.833 0.151 0.983 0.965 
80 0.849 0.140 0.994 0.987 
90 0.820 0.158 0.996 0.991 
100 0.851 0.146 0.999 0.997 
M 0.841 0.145 0.830 0.742 

Note. p(rep) = probability of replication, defined as drawing a CI containing the mean of the previous experiment. p(sign.2) = probability of finding significance (p ≤ .05) twice in a row.

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