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A. Gaudel
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Journal Articles
Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene (2018) 6: 39.
Published: 10 May 2018
Abstract
The Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report (TOAR) is an activity of the International Global Atmospheric Chemistry Project. This paper is a component of the report, focusing on the present-day distribution and trends of tropospheric ozone relevant to climate and global atmospheric chemistry model evaluation. Utilizing the TOAR surface ozone database, several figures present the global distribution and trends of daytime average ozone at 2702 non-urban monitoring sites, highlighting the regions and seasons of the world with the greatest ozone levels. Similarly, ozonesonde and commercial aircraft observations reveal ozone’s distribution throughout the depth of the free troposphere. Long-term surface observations are limited in their global spatial coverage, but data from remote locations indicate that ozone in the 21 st century is greater than during the 1970s and 1980s. While some remote sites and many sites in the heavily polluted regions of East Asia show ozone increases since 2000, many others show decreases and there is no clear global pattern for surface ozone changes since 2000. Two new satellite products provide detailed views of ozone in the lower troposphere across East Asia and Europe, revealing the full spatial extent of the spring and summer ozone enhancements across eastern China that cannot be assessed from limited surface observations. Sufficient data are now available (ozonesondes, satellite, aircraft) across the tropics from South America eastwards to the western Pacific Ocean, to indicate a likely tropospheric column ozone increase since the 1990s. The 2014–2016 mean tropospheric ozone burden (TOB) between 60°N–60°S from five satellite products is 300 Tg ± 4%. While this agreement is excellent, the products differ in their quantification of TOB trends and further work is required to reconcile the differences. Satellites can now estimate ozone’s global long-wave radiative effect, but evaluation is difficult due to limited in situ observations where the radiative effect is greatest.
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Articles
Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene (2018) 6: 10.
Published: 31 January 2018
Abstract
The goal of the Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report (TOAR) is to provide the research community with an up-to-date scientific assessment of tropospheric ozone, from the surface to the tropopause. While a suite of observations provides significant information on the spatial and temporal distribution of tropospheric ozone, observational gaps make it necessary to use global atmospheric chemistry models to synthesize our understanding of the processes and variables that control tropospheric ozone abundance and its variability. Models facilitate the interpretation of the observations and allow us to make projections of future tropospheric ozone and trace gas distributions for different anthropogenic or natural perturbations. This paper assesses the skill of current-generation global atmospheric chemistry models in simulating the observed present-day tropospheric ozone distribution, variability, and trends. Drawing upon the results of recent international multi-model intercomparisons and using a range of model evaluation techniques, we demonstrate that global chemistry models are broadly skillful in capturing the spatio-temporal variations of tropospheric ozone over the seasonal cycle, for extreme pollution episodes, and changes over interannual to decadal periods. However, models are consistently biased high in the northern hemisphere and biased low in the southern hemisphere, throughout the depth of the troposphere, and are unable to replicate particular metrics that define the longer term trends in tropospheric ozone as derived from some background sites. When the models compare unfavorably against observations, we discuss the potential causes of model biases and propose directions for future developments, including improved evaluations that may be able to better diagnose the root cause of the model-observation disparity. Overall, model results should be approached critically, including determining whether the model performance is acceptable for the problem being addressed, whether biases can be tolerated or corrected, whether the model is appropriately constituted, and whether there is a way to satisfactorily quantify the uncertainty.
Includes: Supplementary data
Journal Articles
Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene (2016) 4: 000129.
Published: 30 September 2016
Abstract
Ozone is generally assumed to have weak diurnal variations in the free troposphere due to lower production rates than in the boundary layer, in addition to a much lower NO titration and the absence of dry deposition at the surface. However, this hypothesis has not been proven due to a lack of high frequency observations at multiple times per day. For the first time, we take benefit from the frequent O 3 vertical profiles measured above Frankfurt in the framework of the MOZAIC-IAGOS program to investigate the diurnal variations of O 3 mixing ratios at multiple pressure levels throughout the troposphere. With about 21,000 aircraft profiles between 1994 and 2012 (98 per month on average), distributed throughout the day, this is the only dataset that can allow such a study. As expected, strong diurnal variations are observed close to the surface, in particular during spring and summer (enhanced photochemistry and surface deposition). Higher in altitude, our observations show a decrease of the diurnal cycle, with no diurnal cycle discernible above 750 hPa, whatever the season. Similar results are observed for the different percentiles of the O 3 distribution (5 th , 25 th , 50 th , 75 th , 95 th ). An insight of the changes of the diurnal cycles between 1994–2003 and 2004–2012 is also given. We found higher O 3 mixing ratios during the latter period, particularly on the lowest pressure levels, despite lower mixing ratios during summer.
Includes: Supplementary data