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Keywords: economic forecasts
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Journal Articles
Collabra: Psychology (2024) 10 (1): 92953.
Published: 28 February 2024
... with other published findings of overprecision in economic forecasts? Ben-David et al.  (2013) report a 36% hit rate for 80% confidence intervals, a hit rate comparable to that of other studies employing confidence intervals (Alpert & Raiffa, 1982; Cesarini et al., 2006; Glaser et al., 2013) . The SPF...
Includes: Supplementary data