... and numbers, is crucial for accurate decision making. This study evaluates the replicability of eleven effects that underscore the pivotal role of numeracy in judgment and decision making, with successful replication defined as a statistically significant effect in the same direction as reported...

... economic forecasts policy cognitive bias behavioral economics judgment decision making The Philadelphia Federal Reserve provides sample surveys ( https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/real-time-data-research/form-examples ) showing question wording and forecasting items (see also...

...Cailin O’Connor; Daniel Relihan; Ashley Thomas; Peter H. Ditto; P. Kyle Stanford; James O. Weatherall; Yoel Inbar The COVID-19 pandemic created enormously difficult decisions for individuals trying to navigate both the risks of the pandemic and the demands of everyday life. Good decision making...

..., and first drafts, and therefore were essential. All authors approved the final manuscript for submission. We thank Henrik Y. L. Pröpper for conceptual input on the introduction. This paper was part of a larger project, 'Mass pre-registered replications in judgment and decision-making' led...

.../ . Dishonesty Lying Collaboration Behavioral norm Decision Making People are social animals; many of our good and bad behaviors take place in groups. A recent study by Weisel and Shalvi shows that “collaborative settings led people to engage in excessive dishonest behavior” ( 2015, p. 10655...